Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Soto threatens submissions; Marco Beltran has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Joe Soto has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Marco Beltran has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marco Beltran
oldest →W
DECvs Ning Guangyou · Nov 15W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16L
vs Matt Schnell · Oct 17 Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jan 16W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marco BeltranMetricJoe Soto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.14Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marco BeltranJoe Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marco Beltran(5 fights)Joe Soto(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -19.0|Blue +19.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marco BeltranTargetJoe Soto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Soto edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
