Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Joaquin BuckleyL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25L
DECvs Sean Brady · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJoaquin Buckley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin HollandJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -6.1|Blue +6.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin HollandTargetJoaquin Buckley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
