Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Keita Nakamura threatens submissions; Kyle Noke has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle NokeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 14W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15W
KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16 Keita Nakamura
oldest →L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle NokeMetricKeita Nakamura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.14Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyle NokeKeita Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Noke(10 fights)Keita Nakamura(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kyle NokeTargetKeita Nakamura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyle Noke edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:04
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Keita Nakamura edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control0:29
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
1Knockdowns
