Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Khamzat Chimaev
oldest →W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25L
DECvs Sean Strickland · May 26 Rhys McKee
oldest →L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 24W
KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Khamzat ChimaevMetricRhys McKee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap-2.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Khamzat ChimaevRhys McKee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Khamzat Chimaev(10 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.6|Blue -27.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Khamzat ChimaevTargetRhys McKee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Khamzat Chimaev edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns1
Control2:59
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
