Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex White has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex White (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex White
oldest →W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17L
vs James Krause · Jan 18L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19 Clay CollardL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Max Holloway · Aug 14L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Jun 15L
DECvs Tiago Trator · Sep 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex WhiteMetricClay Collard
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.69Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex WhiteClay Collard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex White(10 fights)Clay Collard(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.6|Blue -136.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex WhiteTargetClay Collard
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Clay Collard edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Clay Collard edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:12
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Alex White edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:08
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
