Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raquel Pennington
oldest →W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24 Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raquel PenningtonMetricMarion Reneau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raquel PenningtonMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raquel Pennington(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +100.7|Blue -100.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -315.0|Blue +315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raquel PenningtonTargetMarion Reneau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Raquel Pennington rounds
Round 1Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:24
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:19Control
Round 2Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control2:15
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:38Control
Round 3Raquel Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns1
Control1:50
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
