Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Efrain Escudero has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Efrain Escudero
oldest →L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15 Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Efrain EscuderoMetricKevin Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Efrain EscuderoKevin Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Kevin Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -109.2|Blue +109.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Efrain EscuderoTargetKevin Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:46
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Efrain Escudero edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:50
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 3Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:38
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
