Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Rodriguez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cameron Saaiman (53.5%).
- Christian Rodriguez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Rodriguez
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25W
SUBvs Hyder Amil · Jun 26 Cameron SaaimanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22W
vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23W
KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23L
KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricCameron Saaiman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian RodriguezCameron Saaiman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(10 fights)Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +32.6|Blue -32.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian RodriguezTargetCameron Saaiman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Christian Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:36
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Christian Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control2:25
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:04Control
Round 3Christian Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns1
Control0:11
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
