Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Birchak is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Joe Soto has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Joe Soto threatens submissions; Anthony Birchak has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Joe Soto has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anthony Birchak has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18 Anthony BirchakL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Ian Entwistle · Dec 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Nov 15W
vs Dileno Lopes · Jul 16L
SUBvs Gustavo Lopez · Nov 20L
KOvs Tony Gravely · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SotoMetricAnthony Birchak
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe SotoAnthony Birchak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Soto(8 fights)Anthony Birchak(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.2|Blue +35.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe SotoTargetAnthony Birchak
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Anthony Birchak edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
