Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad PickettL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17 Iuri Alcantara
oldest →W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad PickettMetricIuri Alcantara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.61Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad PickettIuri Alcantara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -131.5|Blue +131.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad PickettTargetIuri Alcantara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Iuri Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
