Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dennis Bermudez has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Clay Guida has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24 Dennis Bermudez
oldest →L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricDennis Bermudez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.37Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Clay GuidaDennis Bermudez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -27.0|Blue +27.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Clay GuidaTargetDennis Bermudez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:08
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:40Control
Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:08
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
