Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Lineker
oldest →W
KOvs Michael McDonald · Jul 16L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19 Brian KelleherL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 23L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John LinekerMetricBrian Kelleher
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.09Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John LinekerBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Lineker(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.7|Blue -2.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John LinekerTargetBrian Kelleher
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Lineker edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control1:02
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2John Lineker edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns0
Control0:03
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3John Lineker edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
