Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irene AldanaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Karol Rosa
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25L
DECvs Luana Santos · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irene AldanaMetricKarol Rosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Irene AldanaKarol Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Karol Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.1|Blue -6.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Irene AldanaTargetKarol Rosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns0
Control0:00
67Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes61
Takedowns0
Control0:00
92Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
