Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Punahele Soriano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Punahele Soriano is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Punahele Soriano (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Khaos Williams · Nov 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22 Punahele SorianoW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 23L
SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23W
KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricPunahele Soriano
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.83Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miguel BaezaPunahele Soriano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Punahele Soriano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +595.0|Blue -595.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miguel BaezaTargetPunahele Soriano
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Punahele Soriano edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:47
42Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:27Control
Round 2Punahele Soriano edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
49Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:46Control
Round 3Punahele Soriano edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
53Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
