Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Noad Lahat has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Niklas Backstrom has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Niklas Backstrom has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas Backstrom
oldest →W
SUBvs Tom Niinimaki · May 14L
KOvs Mike Wilkinson · Oct 14 Noad Lahat
oldest →L
KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Mar 14W
vs Steven Siler · Jul 14L
KOvs Diego Rivas · Feb 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas BackstromMetricNoad Lahat
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.53Δ 3.85 — meaningful gap+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niklas BackstromNoad Lahat
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Backstrom(3 fights)Noad Lahat(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -135.6|Blue +135.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niklas BackstromTargetNoad Lahat
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control2:44
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 2Noad Lahat edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:27
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 3Niklas Backstrom edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns3
Control2:30
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
