Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Leroy DuncanW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26W
DECvs Jared Cannonier · Jul 26 Gregory RodriguesW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Brad Tavares · Feb 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian Leroy DuncanMetricGregory Rodrigues
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.84Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian Leroy DuncanGregory Rodrigues
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian Leroy DuncanTargetGregory Rodrigues
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
3
Gregory Rodrigues rounds
Round 1Gregory Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:01Control
Round 2Gregory Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:25
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 3Gregory Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:20
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
