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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Roland Delorme won · U-DEC R3
Elo1353
Roland Delorme
Elo1353
Edwin Figueroa

Roland DelormevsEdwin FigueroaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · Saturday, June 15, 2013Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

Official fight result

Roland Delorme won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Roland Delorme wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Roland Delorme wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roland Delorme at -136 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Roland Delorme enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Edwin Figueroa has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Roland Delorme
Red Corner
VS
Edwin Figueroa
Blue Corner
-136
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+126
(44%)
1353
Elo
1353
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roland DelormeL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Josh Ferguson · Dec 11
W
SUBvs Nick Denis · May 12
L
vs Alex Caceres · Sep 13
L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jun 14
L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Aug 14
latest
Edwin FigueroaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Michael McDonald · Mar 11
W
KOvs Jason Reinhardt · Aug 11
W
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 12
L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Feb 13
L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roland DelormeMetricEdwin Figueroa
2.28
Strikes / min
2.57
4.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
40%
Strike defense
51%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.20
42%
Takedown defense
37%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.04Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap-0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1499Strikes26.0 vs 33.3Takedowns1.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts1.33 vs 0.25Form1.0 vs -0.3
Roland DelormeEdwin Figueroa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Roland Delorme(6 fights)Edwin Figueroa(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roland DelormeTargetEdwin Figueroa

By target zone

22
50% acc · 100%
Head
42
47% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

4
22% acc · 18%
Distance
13
42% acc · 31%
1
100% acc · 5%
Clinch
0
0% acc
17
65% acc · 77%
Ground
29
53% acc · 69%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Roland Delorme rounds
0
even
1
Edwin Figueroa rounds
Round 1Roland Delorme edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control3:27
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 2Roland Delorme edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control2:55
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 3Edwin Figueroa edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control3:03
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
22 / 45
Sig Strikes
42 / 89
49.3%
Sig Str %
42.3%
65 / 100
Total Strikes
60 / 109
6 / 11
TDs
0 / 0
53.3%
TD %
2
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
2
9:25
Ctrl Time
3:34

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Edwin Figueroa6 / 208 / 220 / 00
1Roland Delorme12 / 2236 / 521 / 22
2Edwin Figueroa8 / 2020 / 340 / 02
2Roland Delorme4 / 719 / 262 / 40
3Edwin Figueroa28 / 4932 / 530 / 00
3Roland Delorme6 / 1610 / 223 / 50

Roland Delorme

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6

Edwin Figueroa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6