Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pedro MunhozL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23L
vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24 Justin ScogginsL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14W
DECvs Joshua Sampo · May 15L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pedro MunhozMetricJustin Scoggins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91Δ 2.31 — meaningful gap+1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pedro MunhozJustin Scoggins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +122.1|Blue -122.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -152.0|Blue +152.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pedro MunhozTargetJustin Scoggins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Justin Scoggins edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:08
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
