Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Fabricio Werdum has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Travis Browne has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricTravis Browne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap-1.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumTravis Browne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Travis Browne(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +131.6|Blue -131.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +203.0|Blue -203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetTravis Browne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:27
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:04
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:27
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 4Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:05
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
