Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Victor Henry has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor Henry
oldest →W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22W
vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor HenryMetricPedro Falcao
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.98Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Victor HenryPedro Falcao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Henry(6 fights)Pedro Falcao(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +22.9|Blue -22.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -210.0|Blue +210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Victor HenryTargetPedro Falcao
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Victor Henry edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:38
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Pedro Falcao edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:56
24Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 3Victor Henry edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control1:36
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
