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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Joaquim Silva won · S-DEC R3

Elo1360

Elo1507

Reza MadadivsJoaquim SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · Sunday, May 28, 2017Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Joaquim Silva won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupReza Madadi: WrestlervsJoaquim Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Reza Madadi wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Joaquim Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Reza Madadi at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Reza Madadi has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Reza Madadi has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Reza Madadi has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Reza Madadi

Red Corner

Joaquim Silva

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1360

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Reza Madadi

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Oct 12

SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13

vs Norman Parke · Oct 15

KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16

vs Joe Duffy · Mar 17

latest

Joaquim Silva

oldest →

KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23

vs Clay Guida · Dec 23

vs Drakkar Klose · May 24

vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Reza MadadiMetricJoaquim Silva

2.51

Strikes / min

3.43

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.17

66%

Strike defense

53%

3.17

TDs / 15 min

0.34

89%

Takedown defense

70%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Reza MadadiJoaquim Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Reza Madadi(7 fights)Joaquim Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -146.3|Blue +146.3

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -253.0|Blue +253.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Reza MadadiTargetJoaquim Silva

By target zone

34% acc · 69%

Head

24% acc · 75%

89% acc · 31%

Body

71% acc · 25%

Leg

0% acc

By position

37% acc · 65%

Distance

25% acc · 70%

58% acc · 27%

Clinch

36% acc · 10%

50% acc · 8%

Ground

42% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Reza Madadi rounds

even

Joaquim Silva rounds

Round 1Reza Madadi edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control3:18

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Joaquim Silva edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control0:07

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control2:12

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:32Control

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 62

Sig Strikes

40 / 142

42.3%

Sig Str %

27.7%

69 / 106

Total Strikes

69 / 186

5 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

42%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:37

Ctrl Time

2:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joaquim Silva	6 / 22	11 / 32	0 / 0	0
1	Reza Madadi	5 / 11	43 / 50	2 / 3	0
2	Joaquim Silva	21 / 76	27 / 83	0 / 0	0
2	Reza Madadi	16 / 39	16 / 39	1 / 5	0
3	Joaquim Silva	13 / 44	31 / 71	0 / 0	1
3	Reza Madadi	5 / 12	10 / 17	2 / 5	0

Reza Madadi

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Joaquim Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12