Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Karol Rosa has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yana SantosW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Aug 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · Oct 25 Karol Rosa
oldest →L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25L
DECvs Luana Santos · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yana SantosMetricKarol Rosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.29evenly matched on net striking+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yana SantosKarol Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yana Santos(5 fights)Karol Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.1|Blue -34.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yana SantosTargetKarol Rosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control2:19
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Yana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control1:34
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 3Karol Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
