Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Holly Holm has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricMarion Reneau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.7|Blue -93.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -6.0|Blue +6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetMarion Reneau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:23
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:27
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
