Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thibault Gouti enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Thibault Gouti is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Andrew Holbrook has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Thibault Gouti has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andrew Holbrook (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thibault GoutiL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Teemu Packalen · Feb 16L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Aug 16L
vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 18 Andrew Holbrook
oldest →W
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jul 15L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jul 16W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 16L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thibault GoutiMetricAndrew Holbrook
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.96Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thibault GoutiAndrew Holbrook
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thibault Gouti(6 fights)Andrew Holbrook(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.7|Blue -6.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thibault GoutiTargetAndrew Holbrook
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thibault Gouti edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:30
Knockdowns1
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
