Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Damon Jackson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alexander Hernandez has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Hernandez has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Hernandez
oldest →W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25L
DECvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 26 Damon JacksonL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Pat Sabatini · Sep 22L
vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander HernandezMetricDamon Jackson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.22evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander HernandezDamon Jackson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)Damon Jackson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.8|Blue -27.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander HernandezTargetDamon Jackson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Alexander Hernandez rounds
Round 1Damon Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:35Control
Round 2Damon Jackson edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:19
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:21Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
