Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Alistair Overeem has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alistair Overeem
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21 Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alistair OvereemMetricMark Hunt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.23Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alistair OvereemMark Hunt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alistair Overeem(10 fights)Mark Hunt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +124.1|Blue -124.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alistair OvereemTargetMark Hunt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control2:55
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alistair Overeem edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:38
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
