Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Roller is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Thiago Tavares has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Thiago Tavares threatens submissions; Shane Roller has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Thiago Tavares has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Tavares
oldest →W
SUBvs Justin Salas · Nov 13W
SUBvs Robert Peralta · Aug 14L
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jun 15W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Nov 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 16 Shane Roller
oldest →L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 11L
vs Michael Johnson · Jan 12W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago TavaresMetricShane Roller
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.31evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago TavaresShane Roller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Tavares(10 fights)Shane Roller(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago TavaresTargetShane Roller
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:07
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Shane Roller edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:21
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
