Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Omielanczuk is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Daniel Omielanczuk has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Omielanczuk (53.5%).
- Curtis Blaydes has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel OmielanczukL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jul 15W
vs Jarjis Danho · Feb 16W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 16L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 16L
DECvs Tim Johnson · Mar 17 Curtis Blaydes
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel OmielanczukMetricCurtis Blaydes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.20Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel OmielanczukCurtis Blaydes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Omielanczuk(9 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -134.5|Blue +134.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel OmielanczukTargetCurtis Blaydes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Daniel Omielanczuk rounds
Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
Round 3Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:03
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
