Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Gutierrez has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Gutierrez has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Gutierrez
oldest →W
vs Alatengheili · Oct 23W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25 Felipe Colares
oldest →L
vs Geraldo de Freitas · Feb 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Jul 19L
vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20W
vs Luke Sanders · May 21L
KOvs Chase Hooper · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris GutierrezMetricFelipe Colares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.75Δ 4.23 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris GutierrezFelipe Colares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +82.1|Blue -82.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris GutierrezTargetFelipe Colares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:18
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Round 2Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:04
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:08
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
