Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Michel Pereira has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Michel Pereira
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25L
DECvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niko PriceMetricMichel Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niko PriceMichel Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niko Price(10 fights)Michel Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niko PriceTargetMichel Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:47
27Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:50
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:12Control
Round 3Niko Price edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns0
Control0:35
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
