Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Spike Carlyle is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aalon Cruz has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Aalon Cruz has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Spike Carlyle has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aalon Cruz has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aalon Cruz
oldest →L
KOvs Uros Medic · Mar 21 Spike CarlyleL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Billy Quarantillo · May 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aalon CruzMetricSpike Carlyle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.30evenly matched on net striking-1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aalon CruzSpike Carlyle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aalon Cruz(2 fights)Spike Carlyle(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.6|Blue -4.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aalon CruzTargetSpike Carlyle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Spike Carlyle edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:05
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
