Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Fiziev
oldest →L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 26 Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25W
SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael FizievMetricMateusz Gamrot
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rafael FizievMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -15.3|Blue +15.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rafael FizievTargetMateusz Gamrot
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rafael Fiziev edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Mateusz Gamrot edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
