Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26 Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Curtis BlaydesJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Curtis BlaydesTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds
Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:54
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:20
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:05
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
