Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Pyfer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
- Joe Pyfer has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Apr 26 Joe PyferW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Oct 23L
vs Jack Hermansson · Feb 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24W
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25W
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kelvin GastelumMetricJoe Pyfer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kelvin GastelumJoe Pyfer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)Joe Pyfer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -61.6|Blue +61.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kelvin GastelumTargetJoe Pyfer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Pyfer edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
2Knockdowns
Round 2Joe Pyfer edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Joe Pyfer edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:27
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
