Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Roosevelt Roberts threatens submissions; Alexander Yakovlev has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Alexander Yakovlev has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander Yakovlev
oldest →W
KOvs George Sullivan · Jan 16L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16W
SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20 Roosevelt RobertsL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jun 20L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 21L
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · Nov 23L
vs Ludovit Klein · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander YakovlevMetricRoosevelt Roberts
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.67evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander YakovlevRoosevelt Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)Roosevelt Roberts(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -98.6|Blue +98.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander YakovlevTargetRoosevelt Roberts
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Alexander Yakovlev rounds
1
Roosevelt Roberts rounds
Round 1Roosevelt Roberts edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:03
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Alexander Yakovlev edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control3:42
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:34
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:32Control
