Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriella Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gabriella Fernandes (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Casey O'Neill
oldest →W
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Oct 21W
vs Roxanne Modafferi · Feb 22L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 23L
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Dec 23W
vs Luana Santos · Aug 24 Gabriella FernandesW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 23L
vs Tereza Bleda · Jun 23W
vs Carli Judice · Jun 24W
SUBvs Wang Cong · Nov 24W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Casey O'NeillMetricGabriella Fernandes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.36Δ 4.16 — meaningful gap-1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Casey O'NeillGabriella Fernandes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Casey O'Neill(8 fights)Gabriella Fernandes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +11.0|Blue -11.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +357.0|Blue -357.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Casey O'NeillTargetGabriella Fernandes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Gabriella Fernandes rounds
Round 1Casey O'Neill edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
