Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Spann threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Ion Cutelaba has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
- Ryan Spann has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Ion Cutelaba
oldest →W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan SpannMetricIon Cutelaba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.81Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan SpannIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Spann(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +21.2|Blue -21.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan SpannTargetIon Cutelaba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:04
2Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:11Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
