Featherweight

3 Rounds

Chris Fishgold won · SUB R2

Elo1492

Elo1386

Daniel TeymurvsChris FishgoldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Saturday, February 23, 2019Prague, Czech Republic

Official fight result

Chris Fishgold won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:10

Style matchupDaniel Teymur: Well-roundedvsChris Fishgold: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Daniel Teymur wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Chris Fishgold wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Teymur at +205 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chris Fishgold threatens submissions; Daniel Teymur has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Daniel Teymur has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Daniel Teymur has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Teymur

Red Corner

Chris Fishgold

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1492

Elo

1386

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel Teymur

oldest →

vs Danny Henry · Jul 17

SUBvs Julio Arce · Jun 18

vs Sung Bin Jo · Jun 19

KOvs Chase Hooper · Dec 19

latest

Chris FishgoldL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 18

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jun 19

vs Jared Gordon · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel TeymurMetricChris Fishgold

3.08

Strikes / min

2.01

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

56%

Strike defense

46%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

2.59

60%

Takedown defense

44%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel TeymurChris Fishgold

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Teymur(5 fights)Chris Fishgold(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +105.5|Blue -105.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +148.0|Blue -148.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel TeymurTargetChris Fishgold

By target zone

48% acc · 82%

Head

42% acc · 93%

100% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 7%

0% acc

Leg

By position

35% acc · 41%

Distance

38% acc · 57%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

80% acc · 29%

82% acc · 53%

Ground

33% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Teymur rounds

even

Chris Fishgold rounds

Round 1Chris Fishgold edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control1:18

14Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

2:26Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 33

Sig Strikes

14 / 32

47.5%

Sig Str %

25%

31 / 50

Total Strikes

19 / 39

1 / 1

TDs

5 / 10

100%

TD %

72%

Sub Att

Rev

1:18

Ctrl Time

3:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Fishgold	14 / 28	19 / 35	4 / 9	1
1	Daniel Teymur	14 / 26	28 / 43	1 / 1	0
2	Chris Fishgold	0 / 4	0 / 4	1 / 1	1
2	Daniel Teymur	3 / 7	3 / 7	0 / 0	0

Daniel Teymur

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5

Chris Fishgold

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4