Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roy Nelson is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Antonio Silva has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roy NelsonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Mar 15L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17 Antonio SilvaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 14W
KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15L
KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roy NelsonMetricAntonio Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.61Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roy NelsonAntonio Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roy Nelson(10 fights)Antonio Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.8|Blue -132.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -60.0|Blue +60.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roy NelsonTargetAntonio Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Roy Nelson edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:26
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Roy Nelson edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
