Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan BlachowiczL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 21L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25 Bogdan Guskov
oldest →W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricBogdan Guskov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jan BlachowiczBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Bogdan Guskov(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -28.7|Blue +28.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jan BlachowiczTargetBogdan Guskov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bogdan Guskov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:09Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
