Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhalgas Zhumagulov (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeff MolinaW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Oct 21 Zhalgas ZhumagulovL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jerome Rivera · Jul 21L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 21L
vs Charles Johnson · Nov 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeff MolinaMetricZhalgas Zhumagulov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.21Δ 2.83 — meaningful gap-0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeff MolinaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeff Molina(3 fights)Zhalgas Zhumagulov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.2|Blue -35.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeff MolinaTargetZhalgas Zhumagulov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Zhalgas Zhumagulov rounds
Round 1Zhalgas Zhumagulov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:04
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:16Control
Round 2Zhalgas Zhumagulov edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:10
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 3Jeff Molina edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
