Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Pat Healy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gleison Tibau has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gleison Tibau (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gleison TibauL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18 Pat HealyL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Sep 13L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gleison TibauMetricPat Healy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.56evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gleison TibauPat Healy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gleison Tibau(10 fights)Pat Healy(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +12.3|Blue -12.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gleison TibauTargetPat Healy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gleison Tibau edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:08
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:26
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Pat Healy edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control0:58
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:49Control
