Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan PearceL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Feb 22W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23 Pat SabatiniW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 23L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25W
DECvs William Gomis · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan PearceMetricPat Sabatini
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan PearcePat Sabatini
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)Pat Sabatini(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.3|Blue +52.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan PearceTargetPat Sabatini
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
