Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kaynan Kruschewsky has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25 Kaynan Kruschewsky
oldest →L
KOvs Elves Brener · Nov 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricKaynan Kruschewsky
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kurt HolobaughKaynan Kruschewsky
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Kaynan Kruschewsky(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kurt HolobaughTargetKaynan Kruschewsky
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Kaynan Kruschewsky rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:57
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Kurt Holobaugh edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns1
Control1:28
36Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 3Kaynan Kruschewsky edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:56
22Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:57Control
