Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trey Ogden has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kurt HolobaughL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Thiago Moises · May 19W
SUBvs Austin Hubbard · Aug 23W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Jul 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Mar 25L
SUBvs Jordan Leavitt · May 25 Trey Ogden
oldest →L
vs Jordan Leavitt · Apr 22W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 22L
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 23W
vs Loik Radzhabov · Jul 24L
vs Thiago Moises · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kurt HolobaughMetricTrey Ogden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kurt HolobaughTrey Ogden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kurt Holobaugh(9 fights)Trey Ogden(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -14.7|Blue +14.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kurt HolobaughTargetTrey Ogden
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Trey Ogden edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:12Control
Round 2Trey Ogden edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:10
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:52Control
Round 3Trey Ogden edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
