Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Pat Healy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jorge Masvidal has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23 Pat HealyL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Sep 13L
vs Gleison Tibau · Jul 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge MasvidalMetricPat Healy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jorge MasvidalPat Healy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)Pat Healy(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +102.9|Blue -102.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jorge MasvidalTargetPat Healy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:10
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 2Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:22
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:36Control
Round 3Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:44
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
