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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Iasmin Lucindo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1525

Elo1506

Iasmin LucindovsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Saturday, August 9, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Iasmin Lucindo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIasmin Lucindo: WrestlervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Iasmin Lucindo wins(76.6%)

Actual result: Iasmin Lucindo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Iasmin Lucindo at -172 American odds

+$58 profit

$158 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Iasmin Lucindo

Red Corner

Angela Hill

Blue Corner

-172

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+144

(41%)

1525

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'3"

167.64 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Iasmin Lucindo

oldest →

vs Brogan Walker · Apr 23

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 24

vs Marina Rodriguez · Oct 24

vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25

latest

Angela Hill

oldest →

SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Iasmin LucindoMetricAngela Hill

3.22

Strikes / min

5.37

2.80

Strikes absorbed / min

5.02

62%

Strike defense

60%

2.28

TDs / 15 min

0.75

68%

Takedown defense

72%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Iasmin LucindoAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.9|Blue -18.9

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Iasmin LucindoTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

44% acc · 78%

Head

50% acc · 66%

63% acc · 17%

Body

83% acc · 30%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

44% acc · 79%

Distance

57% acc · 81%

65% acc · 15%

Clinch

67% acc · 19%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Iasmin Lucindo rounds

even

Angela Hill rounds

Round 1Iasmin Lucindo edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control0:46

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:56

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Iasmin Lucindo edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control3:55

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 151

Sig Strikes

64 / 110

48.7%

Sig Str %

63.7%

100 / 187

Total Strikes

80 / 129

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 5

55.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:37

Ctrl Time

1:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Angela Hill	25 / 46	26 / 47	0 / 3	0
1	Iasmin Lucindo	27 / 68	28 / 69	1 / 3	0
2	Angela Hill	31 / 54	38 / 63	0 / 1	1
2	Iasmin Lucindo	28 / 50	30 / 52	1 / 3	0
3	Angela Hill	8 / 10	16 / 19	0 / 1	0
3	Iasmin Lucindo	17 / 33	42 / 66	1 / 1	0

Iasmin Lucindo

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30