Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephan Bonnar
oldest →W
KOvs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jul 10W
vs Igor Pokrajac · Dec 10L
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 12 Kyle KingsburyL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ricardo Romero · Feb 11W
vs Fabio Maldonado · Jun 11L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 12L
vs Patrick Cummins · Jul 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephan BonnarMetricKyle Kingsbury
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stephan BonnarKyle Kingsbury
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephan Bonnar(4 fights)Kyle Kingsbury(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.8|Blue -136.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stephan BonnarTargetKyle Kingsbury
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control1:34
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control4:26
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control4:38
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
