Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Fabio Maldonado has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor PokrajacL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
KOvs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16 Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Gian Villante · Mar 14L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
DECvs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor PokrajacMetricFabio Maldonado
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Igor PokrajacFabio Maldonado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -189.0|Blue +189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Igor PokrajacTargetFabio Maldonado
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control3:05
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 2Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:39
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 3Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:22
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
