Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21 Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Oct 13L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stipe MiocicMetricGabriel Gonzaga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.66Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stipe MiocicGabriel Gonzaga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stipe Miocic(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.5|Blue -3.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stipe MiocicTargetGabriel Gonzaga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gabriel Gonzaga edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control2:06
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
